Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.027827 0.029887 0.031958 0.034195 0.036540 0.038923 0.041524
2026-02-01 0.023811 0.027027 0.030385 0.034139 0.038209 0.042476 0.047275
2026-02-08 0.021158 0.025063 0.029254 0.034064 0.039404 0.045128 0.051702
2026-02-15 0.019125 0.023499 0.028309 0.033947 0.040331 0.047296 0.055426
2026-02-22 0.017519 0.022247 0.027557 0.033900 0.041205 0.049295 0.058868
2026-03-01 0.015982 0.020945 0.026633 0.033546 0.041633 0.050711 0.061586
2026-03-08 0.014465 0.019558 0.025510 0.032868 0.041604 0.051537 0.063572
2026-03-15 0.013119 0.018288 0.024447 0.032182 0.041497 0.052215 0.065338
2026-03-22 0.012592 0.017990 0.024521 0.032830 0.042944 0.054690 0.069187
2026-03-29 0.011862 0.017389 0.024184 0.032942 0.043723 0.056358 0.072081
2026-04-05 0.011116 0.016724 0.023729 0.032875 0.044255 0.057715 0.074594
2026-04-12 0.010718 0.016490 0.023796 0.033440 0.045550 0.059980 0.078192
2026-04-19 0.009999 0.015824 0.023325 0.033362 0.046106 0.061431 0.080923
2026-04-26 0.009332 0.015203 0.022895 0.033328 0.046724 0.062977 0.083809
2026-05-03 0.008705 0.014600 0.022457 0.033256 0.047271 0.064425 0.086570
2026-05-10 0.008115 0.014011 0.022007 0.033140 0.047743 0.065764 0.089193
2026-05-17 0.007596 0.013494 0.021627 0.033094 0.048284 0.067180 0.091905
2026-05-24 0.007014 0.012850 0.021042 0.032746 0.048412 0.068060 0.093944
2026-05-31 0.006375 0.012081 0.020246 0.032080 0.048096 0.068356 0.095235
2026-06-07 0.005784 0.011348 0.019468 0.031406 0.047741 0.068580 0.096419
2026-06-14 0.005620 0.011278 0.019639 0.032042 0.049132 0.071050 0.100456
2026-06-21 0.005318 0.010966 0.019442 0.032153 0.049809 0.072597 0.103323
2026-06-28 0.004987 0.010589 0.019131 0.032087 0.050237 0.073814 0.105770